TABLE 2.

ML estimates of evolutionary parameters in EBLV

ML estimateValue
G GeneN Gene
EBLV-1EBLV-1aEBLV-1bEBLV-1EBLV-1aEBLV-1b
Best-fit population modelExponential growthExponential growthExponential growthExponential growthExponential growthExponential growth
Mean ka5.10× 10−55.77 × 10−57.40 × 10−56.11 × 10−55.57 × 10−52.39 × 10−4
HPD k3.00 × 10−6, 9.16 × 10−52.89 × 10−6, 1.07 × 10−41.33 × 10−6, 1.70 × 10−41.14 × 10−5, 1.09 × 10−49.48 × 10−6, 1.00 × 10−44.67 × 10−5, 4.28 × 10−4
Mean age (yr)73923942249420472
HPD age (yr)159, 1,58947, 55552, 1,168154, 1,02964, 50626, 152
Mean growth ratebNAc0.0490.010NA0.0380.053
HPD growth rateNA0.0008, 0.115−0.005, 0.031NA0.004, 0.0810.002, 0.109
Mean epidemic doubling time (λ) (yr)NA1469NA1813
  • a Rate of nucleotide substitution per site per year.

  • b Number of new infections per individual per year.

  • c NA, not applicable.